Sorry all, but I'm in the
'sink, baby, sink' crowd.

And I don't seem much reason for the dollar to rise much or soon.
In all likelihood, the Fed is gonna chop interest rates down to near Japan-like levels.
Result? Weaker dollar. The US economy is currently in a medium to heavy recession, despite the warm fuzzies from Bush&Co, and suffers from fundamental weaknesses on a scale that other world economies do not. Yes, other nations will feel pain too, but not nearly as acutely as the US.
Result? Weaker dollar. A significant trend over the past few years has been with central banks, crazy rich folks, and multinational corporations to slowly diversify their currency reserves & etc. into non-USD currencies. Long term, this is likely to continue if not accelerate.
Result? Weaker dollar. While the recent spikes in oil prices have many of my fellow Americans feeling some pain, things aren't nearly so bad elsewhere. The intrinsic value of oil remains the same, only the dollar has dropped in value. The US economy will suffer, other non-dollar based economies will not suffer. Since currency valuations are very much a reflection of the health of a nations economy, the dollar will suffer more.
Result? Weaker dollar. On that last note, there is talk of nations pricing their oil production in Euros (or whatever), which means less demand for dollars.
Result? Weaker dollar. So, in case you hadn't picked it up by now, I am a dollar sceptic. Then again, I have a mild emotional bias--It makes America cheap for me to visit, and better yet, my student loans have dropped a good 30% or so in the past few years by me
not paying them off.
Last November I met up with a boot who said, with authority and emotion, that the dollar would make a come back. I saw this boot again recently, and it down right sadistic of me to bring up
The Dollar again, but I did. My dear boot is still convinced of a significant USD comeback (and the demise of the Euro.) Then again, it would certainly help out the ol' travel fund, so this boot is biased too. I am not predicting a resurgent dollar, at least for the short and medium term future.
quote:
If you really want to hate the US dollar go to one of the Scandinavian countries. It cost my $11 for a domestic beer in Copenhagen. Socialism?
Spare us the diatribe on Socialism. 'Hate the US Dollar'? What, like it is personal or something? Gawds, but whatever. Do note that, factually, A) that $11 beer was, going back historically with exchange rates, much cheaper just a few years ago when the dollar was stronger. (But, still, pretty darn expensive. But, still again, better than Sweden); B) what Danes pay in taxes there they get back in services that you can only dream of as an American. Don't knock it until you lived it.